This animation summarizes the waiting times in the first two weeks.
Waiting times from day 1 to day 1

reminder_week1

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Stanford University

Stanford Computation and Cognition Lab

Legal information: By answering the following questions, you are participating in a study being performed by cognitive scientists at Stanford University. If you have questions about this research, please contact Falk Lieder or Noah Goodman. You must be at least 18 years old to participate. Your participation in this research is voluntary. You may decline to answer any or all of the following questions. You may decline further participation, at any time, without adverse consequences. Your anonymity is assured; the researchers who have requested your participation will not receive any personal information about you.

How long you have to wait for a bus depends on when you reach the bus stop and the bus route. Your task will be to predict people's departure time for four bus routes. Each time, we will first show you the bus route's schedule and examples of its actual departure time. Next we will show you when a person arrived at the bus stop and ask you when he will get on a bus.

For each bus route you can earn a bonus of up to 55 cents, but the criteria are different. So please pay close attention to whether you have to be fast, accurate, or both. We will pay you the bonuses when you have completed the experiment.

Scenario 1: Bus #22

Jacob commutes to work with bus #22. On average, the first bus departs at 8:01 AM, and the second bus departs at 8:26 AM but departure times vary. On some days Jacob misses the first bus and takes the second bus.

Scoring

There are 100 points that you can win. The longer you take, the fewer points you can win. Specifically, each second you take to answer costs you .

A falling bar will show you how many points are left at any given time.

Please press 'Next' to go through Jacob's most recent experiences to get a better idea about the variability of the bus departure time.

Day 11

If you get the first question wrong, you lose 100 points. Time Cost: points/second
Error Cost: points/minute

Practice making predictions!

number_line_panel_q0

Today arrived at the bus stop at AM (blue bar).

1. Will he get on a bus before or after 8 AM (red bar)?
before
after
2. Please click on the timeline to predict his departure.

If you get the first question wrong, you lose 100 points.
Time Cost: points/second
Error Cost: points/minute

Week 2

Day
Friday:

Thursday:

Wednesday:

Tuesday:

Monday:

Week 1

Each example is presented by two colored bars on a timeline: The orange bars mark the bus schedule, i.e. when the first and the second bus are supposed to arrive. The green bar marks when the first bus actually arrived. If you study these examples closely, you will earn more points by guessing more accurately.

Day
Friday:

Thursday:

Wednesday:

Tuesday:

Monday:

Please answer the following questions!

What has happened according to the picture shown below?
timeline
How important was it be fast in order to score highly in this scenario?
0: irrelevant, 10: essential
How important was it be accurate in order to score highly in this scenario?
0: irrelevant, 10: essential
How old are you?

The test will present you with 18 cases drawn randomly from the agency's records of deceased customers. For each case you will be shown the age at which the customer was interviewed for a life insurance, and your task is to predict the age at which the customer died. You will make your predictions by clicking on a timeline.

Now that you are familiar with the problem, you can start practicing the task. Please practice several times until you are proficient at it! It will help you to perform better and earn more money.

Trial /18


I predict this person died at an age of ...


You predicted a life span of years.

Tip:

Practice until you are proficient! It pays off.

Short Break

Congratulations, you have successfully completed this part of the experiment!
Before you proceed to the second part, please answer the following questions about yourself!

Question
Answer
How old are you? years.
How old do you think you will get? years.
How old do people typically get? years.

Before each prediction we will ask you a question. If you get it right, you earn 10 points. But if you get it wrong, you lose 100 points. One prediction and one question will be chosen at random, and you will receive 0.5 cents per point, i.e. up to 55 cents in total.

You can practice five times. Every answer and prediction after that might determine your bonus.

Tip: Take the question seriously and use the practice predictions to explore how accurate and how fast you have to be to score highly.

You're finished - thanks for participating! If your submission is approved you will receive $1 plus a bonus of $. In total the experiment took 100
Submitting to Mechanical Turk...